Globalization 4.0: The Fated Collocation of Interests, Unpreparedness and Volatility: Beyond Davos’ Fear in 2019
We often think that globalization has led us so vague, entirely scribbling and affected. The World Economic Forum (hereinafter ‘WEF’), Chatham House, Eurasia Group and other relevant organizations have already been finger-crossed to consider what exactly is the fate of this era, while in Japan, the peace-loving Heisei Era is going to end soon.
Nevertheless, let us understand the prerogatives of such a rambled fight we are facing. Are we heading towards a Third World War? Is the unusual alliance of Saudi, Israel, US and UK going to infiltrate effect on the East with an Indian neutral partner? What is the future of a fated Artificial Intelligence and Cyberspace, when half of the world is going to be online?
Figure: number of war normalized for the world population; taken from a research on war patterns of 600 years (Martelloni, Patti, & Bardi, 2018, p. 3).
These questions are effective enough to poise and threaten us. In fact, we are seeing some implications, when an Innovation Winter is on effect. Yet, it does not mean it is all over. Neither does it signify that Globalism is dead. WEF confirms that a globalist position is wrecked by Putin, Trump and Xi, but this a pro-contrived connivance, which the West itself is unable to understand. In fact, the future, which has to unfold itself the rescinding present, is at the verge of inviting Singapore, India, Malaysia, Philippines and China on board to lead the world with the Brits, the Europeans and the cheeky Americans.
“We are radical… because we want to bring the power back to the people” (World Economic Forum, 2018).
We need to understand some interesting developments that an unprepared world of a globalist bliss and myth has entailed today, which needs to be effectively roasted. Let us get a little deep for a moment and chill with life.
Cyberspace and Artificial Intelligence: The Big Endgame
The conception of a dynamic cyberspace is a reality, which is good. We needed a considerable way, where we connect with people and afford better incentives for bettering our aspects. Globalization needed the progeny of a computer revolution, then a big data development, and then the burst of cryptocurrencies and AI. In social life, we have interconnected IoT with ourselves and affixed a culmination of due technology distancing. How do we perceive this anomaly or solution today? In developing/underdeveloped states, this might not be a big issue, what about the Third World China, Saudi Arabia, US and European states (do not remove the Brits out from here)? The point is: an alleviated interest towards adverse level of AI research has entailed the conception of a human artefact, which we love to talk about sometimes. In Constitutional Law, lawmakers and jurists regard this term (most preferably in the United States). We term it as the product/service of democratization, which we regard as an economic perspective of the rule of law. Way true.
[While] the MIT system is in its infancy now, it’s easy to imagine a near future with home-based sleep monitoring using radio frequencies (RF). “Imagine if your Wi-Fi router knows when you are dreaming, and can monitor whether you are having enough deep sleep, which is necessary for memory consolidation,” said study leader Dina Katabi in a statement. “Our vision is developing health sensors that will disappear into the background and capture physiological signals and important health metrics, without asking the user to change her behavior in any way.” (LeFebvre, 2017)
However, such modalities are imperative in the due position and mobility of how we regard our data protection regime. Is it protectionist, restrictive, critical or way thin-lining? Well, out of the 4, we can say it to be the three except the first one. Our regimes are not protectionist, or rather a failing pesudo counterpart of the one. Why? If we understand the luminous role of right to be forgotten, we can deal cyberspace effectively. First, Right to Erasure is effective in its persona in GDPR, again like the concepts of data quality, data rectification and others. But, a semblance of identity and technology (and identity may include culture as a catalyst, so be it), is dangerous, only if we regard the scenario in 2019. It is a good development, which I humbly regard to be what we used to do in reality before. However, this anthropomorphic approach is still dealt with a restrictive approach. This weakens the persepctive of dealing complex situations. And if, we get to lethargic judicial/executive/legislative strategies to let the dome of “rule of law” stand, then it is fragile.
Mobility of Identity in Scalar Democracies: Failure of Vector Jurisprudencia towards Democratic Backsliding and Constitutional Redemption
Identity, irrespective of the digital part, is deep. Culture, even for example is termed or debated whether it is a drug or not. This is a presumptive reality, which we cannot ever ignore certainly. At this verge of recognizing the modalities of human life, we are getting stringent and complex day by day, which is something worth of notice. It also resettles the modal truth, which is celebrating to exist. However, a natural aspect of what human artefacts like democracies to work upon, this really seems differential.
Statement by President of US Donald J. Trump over the legitimacy of governance of Nicolas Maduro as the head of state of Venezuela.
The issues of democratic backsliding in case of Donald Trump and Nicolas Maduro are not same but similar in limited context. Rather should it be termed as very much unclassified. Still, Trump lacks a populist front of existence and is utilizing an apportionment of mere model minority myths among people, for which the US Media has been accused of for years. The American Dream is shattered, if an approach is lost to harmonize scalar democracies. Now, a reference of terms of physics such as ‘scalar’ and ‘vectors’ renders the main context apt and reasonable because the restrictive approach of democratic establishments based on artificial conundrums of policy flow is indescribably staggering. Also, the properties of democratic failures have been countlessly estimated by Niccolo Machiavelli, Thomas Hobbes and HLA Hart, which itself is an estimated debatability to concur. Nevertheless, if we understand the Indian context, then it may seem a bit different. And that is the whole scenario.
An Indian Sovereign is titular, with its manifested governance led by the Prime Minister. Of course, in scalar democracies, it turns our to be weakening for majority-minority led pure democracies (where the purity means poles that are regressed). This estimates another effort of understandability and credibility of what exact can a legal system be of resistance, is to be rendered of important investigation. Mr Modi is the head of a Government, and his aegis has not been smooth enough. However, the redemptions that the judiciary and the parliament is leaning towards is also not of a clear method, of paramount considerations.
Approach to Human Rights and International Law: The Tag of Anti-Globalist
Populism affects the international legal system. It breaks the structure, makes things obsolete and is beyond the limited role of obligations and sanctions. We can understand it by the approaches to US diplomacy by Nikki Haley and Donald Trump, representing the same political party, same pro-Israeli ideologies and also terming out the newer role of the US in International Law. After Roosevelt, the American International Law name arose and the UN led towards a mixed development in these 70 years. Of course, its institutions are not perfect and have basic and rendered issues, which can be solved by cooperation of national and globalist interests. Meanwhile, a 2020 fear of some economic fall like 2008 is feared by states, at the inefficiency of the international organizations. This is termed to be imperfect, but in the end, this does not render any role to the UN or the EU or any such non-state actor.
Also, with regards the aggressive approach of government breakdown in Belgium after the due signature of the Global Migration Pact and the ‘gilet jaunes’ propaganda in France for weeks has, like Poland, Romania, Hungary and UK, threatened the role of a unified Europe. But, an estimation, if is analysed, then we can understand that this populist fear or antagonism, which is being gulped, is, in the words of Elisabeth Warren, a marriage of capitalism and authoritarianism, which itself proves nothing but a worse frugality. Mere NHS funding campaign by Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson and other politicians to lead a Brexit vote and the anti-UPA corruption campaign in India led by the BJP (to some extent) does never lead to tag these politicians populist.
The Last or Cloudy Last Chance for Democracies: The Fragile and Pseudo Populism
In simple terms, Europe is under the threat of a fragile populism, while in India, US and the UK, it is a democratic bemusion. There is no populism under Trump, Modi and May, but yes, all of them are conservative failures. And this allures me because Tommy Robinson is more dangerous than Nigel Farage, while Mr. Farage, being an outspoken MEP, is a messy Brexiter who has a thought and stimulus of democratic retaliation, but lacks that authoritarian ability in truth to lead something, unlike Theresa May (who even if fails, is quite strong to fight her own situation). United Kingdom, like US and India, shares values of absolute democracies, where diversities are recognized with time with conflicts; and shared resemblance is succeeded. Now, the problem that such democracies are facing, is nothing but the antiquity of the principles of democratic law, that is how the legal regimes can intercept and understand the newer genesis of a world never conceived in the due mindfulness of simulation. In India, the 124th Constitutional Amendment Bill, is not going to benefit the main government, because the policy needs clarity and consistency, which is promissory and not realising. Modi, in frank terms, attempts to be a frank liberal, because he does in approach way opposite in terms of presentation and political diplomacy in comparison to his government’s policies: a reinforced reconciliation of no significance and parlant limitation, like any scheme or step he took. It involves the Demonetization step, the GST law, the Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana, sparky and flashy schemes by a forced RBI and ridiculously flagrant legal contributions to the law of privacy, Talaq-e-bidat, NRC and the Uniform Civil Code. Where is the issue of a UCC now by the way? Sublimed, I guess.
Nevertheless, it should be clear: a globalist economic upfront is facing China to decline slowly (or rather facing a bubble burst it did not care a little), an uncertain British see-saw of ethical, economic, social and legal values and the rise of Asian and South-East Asian regimes such as Philippines, Viet Nam, South Korea, Singapore and India. And frugal motives to involve unreasonable populist leanings render a pseudo situation, and defeats the ideological stability of the whole political tactic.
So do not worry. A whole new 4th life still exists. Till then, let us see how the Shutdown, Coalition and Brexit itics go forth. :)
Martelloni, G., Patti, F. D., & Bardi, U. (2018, December 19). Pattern Analysis of World Conflicts over the past 600 years. Retrieved from Cornell University: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1812/1812.08071.pdf
LeFebvre, R. (2017, July 8). MIT uses radio waves and AI to more accurately study sleep. Retrieved from engadget: https://www.engadget.com/2017/08/07/mit-radio-waves-ai-accurately-study-sleep/